Saturday, June 20, 2020

Stock Market Books

Trading

  • Varsity by Zerodha
  • Mastering the trade by John Carter
  • Trading in the Zone by Mark Douglas for Trading psychology
  • Disciplined Trader by Mark Douglas for Trading psychology
  • Definitive guide to position sizing by Van Tharp for Money management
  • Market Wizards by Jack Schwager
  • Trading for a living by Alexander Elder

Saturday, June 6, 2020

Predictive Analysis - Making sense of participant wise open interest data

There is a strong correlation between FII's shorting the market and it going down.

In the analysis of last 120 days data we can see FII's had built huge short positions in the month of Feb 2020 and  the market crashed in March 2020. They closed all the shorts around March 20, 2020 after which market stabilized and started going up.


Last 365 days data analysis shows market was preparing to fall in the month of Sep 2019.



Last 5 years data shows bull run in 2016 first 7-8 months, then a down move. Then again a bull run in 2017.


Predictive Analysis - Making Sense of options chain

Options chain is a beautiful piece of data to analyze
  1. Which side market can move
  2. How much market may move
Related Videos
  1. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vwSjRO4wGYE&t=2282s
  2. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mMTy9VXaUR0&t=1597s
  3. https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC0kKxsSzUbJdbfRo89CuxIw

Thursday, June 4, 2020

Manu Bhatia Trading Strategies

Can be followed at
  1. Telegram
  2. Twitter
Trades mostly BankNifty options both Intraday and Positional
  1. Uses ATR/Supertrend with 15 min interval and uses options strategies to trade.
  2. Trades big quantities when he expects that market has moved to an extreme direction and will give a big move.
  3. His positions are always hedged when trading directional.

Wednesday, June 3, 2020

Mitesh Patel Trading Strategies

Can be followed on
  1. Twitter
  2. Telegram
Mostly a price action trader.

Index Options Selling
  1. Seems like uses Normal Distribution Concept that probability of more than 2 sigma events is <= 5%.
  2. Uses mainly technical analysis like Trend Lines, Support Resistance, Gap Theory etc to asses the direction of the market.
  3.  Sells options in the opposite direction of the market mostly at 2 sigma distance. Keeps on moving the options as the market moves.
Expiry Day Options Trading
  1. Sells massive quantities of options on weekly expiry in indexes.
  2. Most of the money he makes from this only.
Stocks Futures And Options
  1. Trades large quantities of futures and options of stocks based upon the breakout strategies.
  2. By breakout i mean crossing the 52 week high and low. 

P R Sundar Trading Strategies

Can be followed on
  1. Youtube
  2. Blog
  3. Twitter
Index Option Selling

Uses below things mainly for this
  1. Open interest in the option chain.
  2. How the markets are moving worldwide.
  3. What are the current news at the world and India level.
  4. Keeps an eye on monthly data like Inflation, IIP, Auto Sales etc.
  5. Uses technical analysis like Moving Averages, Fibonaaci retracement etc for guessing how things may move.
  6. Uses lot of his past learning and understanding also.
  7. Trades short straddles mostly.
Expiry Day Options Trading
  1. Sells OTM options on expiry day in massive quantities.
  2. Plays Straddle one day prior to expiry to capture the Theta decay.
Results Options Trading
  1. Before results time the volatility of options rises a lot. 
  2. He sells options by guessing where the stock could move to capture the fall in option premium once results are out.
Covered Calls
  1. For the stocks in his portfolio he keeps on selling calls to make rent out of the stocks he already owns.
Cash Secured Puts
  1. Sells OTM puts in good stocks with the hope that stock won't fall below that price.
  2. Is ready to buy the stock if it goes below a certain price.

Tuesday, June 2, 2020

Personal Favorite Strategies

Finding Trend
  1. Super Trend Based Strategy
  2. Gap Theory
  3. Support And Resistance
  4. Chart Patterns
    1. Ascending/Descending Triangle
    2. Rectangles
    3. Double/Triple Bottom
    4. Double/Triple Top
Trading Strategies
  1. BankNifty Hedging Based Strategy
  2. Normal Distribution Based Strategy
  3. Super Trend Based Strategy
  4. Options Strategies
    1. Naked Option Buying
    2. Buying Using Option Spread
    3. Butterfly
    4. Condor
    5. Calendar Spread
    6. Strangle
    7. Straddle
    8. Synthetic Futures
    9. Asymmetric Calendar Back Spread
Strategies To use
  1. Mid Term --1 day Super Trend
  2. Swing Trading --1 hour Super Trend
  3. Intraday -- 3,5,15 min Super Trned, VWAP etc
  4. Hedging based -- Nomral distribution based, Banknifty Pramod rao one
Articles

BankNifty Hedging Based Strategy

Idea
Strong stocks don't fall as much as other stocks and they go up much more as compared to weak stocks.

Strategy
In BankNifty we can use this concept by

Selling Put of HDFCBANK, KOTAKBANK, ICICIBANK 2-3% strike away and hedging it by buying 3 lots of Banknifty at 3.5%-4.5% price away.

https://optionsnext.com/money-in-the-bank-testing-of-assumptions-by-mr-sumoy-goswami/

Swing Trading Strategy


Buy When SuperTrend is Green
Sell When SuperTrend is Red

Can be used at 15 min interval