I was interested in the below questions from long time
- If Nifty falls or goes up for how many days it keeps on moving in the same direction. What kind of distribution that data follows?
- What is the %age change which happens in one move?
I was interested in this because if we are buying or selling options it can help us to know for how long to keep the position open from time and %age move perspective.
So i did some analysis and below are the findings for the same at the weekly and daily level.
Nifty Weekly Longest Sequence (23 years data)
X Axis -- No of days
Y Axis -- Frequency
Min -46.63 Max 29.24
Mean 0.60 StdDev 7.58
Nifty Daily Longest Sequence (5 years data)
X Axis -- No of days
Y Axis -- Frequency
X Axis -- No of days
Y Axis -- Frequency
Max 13.24 Min -18.09
Mean -0.04 Stdev 2.13
Reference





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